📊Latest #Survation Poll:
-> Labour fall to **3rd place**!!

#GeneralElection #UK #KeirStarmer #Politics

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Headline Holyrood regional list voting intention by #Survation:

🟡 * National Party: 28% (-1)
🔴 * Labour: 22% (+2)
🔵 * Conservatives: 16% (+3)
⚪ Reform UK: 12% (-4)
🟢 * Greens: 10% (+2)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (=)
🟤 Alba: 2% (-1)

* Scottish

Holyrood constituency voting intention:

🟡 * National Party: 36% (+2)
🔴 * Labour: 22% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 14% (-3)
🔵 * Conservatives: 13% (+1)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1)
🟢 * Greens: 5% (+1)
🟤 Alba: 1% (=)

* Scottish

Conducted 16-22 April 2025. Changes with 6-13 March 2025.

Tables: https://diffleypartnership.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/April-2025-Voter-Intention-Poll-Diffley-Partnership-FOR-WEB-2.xlsb

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #AlbaParty #ScotPol #Scotland

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Holyrood constituency voting intention by #Survation:

🟡 * National Party: 31% (=)
🔴 * Labour: 27% (-4)
🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 10% (+1)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1)
🟢 * Greens: 6% (=)
🟤 Alba Party: 1% (=)

* Scottish

Conducted 1-15 November 2024. Changes with 10-13 September 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Headline Holyrood regional list voting intention by #Survation:

🟡 * National Party: 27% (-1)
🔴 * Labour: 25% (-1)
🔵 * Conservatives: 15% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+1)
🟢 * Greens: 10% (=)
🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
🟤 Alba Party: 3% (=)

* Scottish

Conducted 1-15 November 2024. Changes with 10-13 September 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Survation:

🟡 SNP: 31% (=)
🔴 Labour: 28% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 15% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 13% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 6% (-3)

SNP lead of 3 points.

Conducted 1-15 November 2024. Changes with 10-13 September 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP

WALES SENEDD OPINION POLL

Senedd regional list voting intention from #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 29% (-7)
🌻 Plaid Cymru : 20% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 19% (+18)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (-7)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (+3)
🟢 Green: 7% (+3)

Changes with Senedd election 2021.

Note: The Senedd is due to change to a multi-member constituency party list voting system.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #wales #walespol #cymru #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #PlaidCymru #ReformUK #Senedd

WALES SENEDD OPINION POLL

Senedd constituency voting intention from #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 30% (-10)
🌻 Plaid Cymru : 21% (+1)
⚪ Reform UK: 20% (+18)
🔵 Conservatives: 17% (-8)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 6% (+1)
🟢 Green: 5% (+3)

Changes with Senedd election 2021.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #wales #walespol #cymru #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #PlaidCymru #ReformUK #Senedd

WALES WESTMINSTER OPINION POLL

Headline Welsh Westminster voting intention from #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 33% (-4)
⚪ Reform UK: 21% (+4)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (=)
🌻 Plaid Cymru: 13% (-2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)

Labour lead of 12 points.

Conducted 18 October - 4 November 2024. Changes with GE 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #walespol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #PlaidCymru #GreenParty #ReformUK #wales #cymru #GE2024

Poll Analysis: Survation 27th – 29th of August 2024

https://web.brid.gy/r/https://ballotbox.scot/survation-august-2024/

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 38% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 17% (+3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 7% (+2)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=)

Labour lead of 19 points.

Conducted (by telephone) 26 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-25June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

GB MRP OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster seats projection from final MRP poll by #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 484 (+281)
🔵 Conservatives: 64 (-301)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 61 (+50)
🟡 SNP: 10 (-38)
⚪ Reform UK: 7 (+7)
🌻 Plaid Cymru: 3 (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 3 (+2)

Conducted 15 June - 1 July 2024. Changes with 2019 GE result.

I'm sceptical.

Details, including map: https://www.survation.com/survation-mrp-labour-99-certain-to-win-more-seats-than-in-1997/

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024

SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Survation for #BallotBoxScotland:

🔴 Labour: 37% (+1)
🟡 SNP: 31% (-1)
🔵 Conservatives: 14% (-3)
⚪ Reform UK: 8% (+5)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (-2)
⚫ Others: 4% (+1)

Conducted 21-25 June 2024. Changes with 23-27 May 2024.

Poll also finds Scots opposing Scottish independence by 54% to 46%.

Details: https://ballotbox.scot/survation-june-2024/

#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention by #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 41% (=)
🔵 Conservatives: 18% (-2)
⚪ Reform UK: 14% (-1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (=)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (-1)
🟡 SNP: 2% (=)

Labour lead of 23 points.

Conducted 21-25 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

CONSTITUENCY OPINION POLL

Islington North (Jeremy Corbyn's seat) constituency opinion poll by #Survation for @LeftieStats:

🔴 Labour: 43% (-21)
⚫ Independent (Corbyn): 29% (new)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7% (-9)
🟢 Green Party: 7% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 6% (+5)
🔵 Conservatives: 6% (-4)

Conducted 20-25 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election notional results.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024 #IslingtonNorth #JeremyCorbyn

CONSTITUENCY OPINION POLL

Richmond & Northallerton (Rishi Sunak's seat) constituency opinion poll by #Survation:

🔵 Conservatives: 39% (-24)
🔴 Labour: 28% (+12)
⚪ Reform UK: 18% (new)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-3)
🟢 Green Party: 4% (=)

Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election notional results.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024 #Richmond #Northallerton #RishiSunak

CONSTITUENCY OPINION POLL

Holborn & St Pancras (Keir Starmer's) constituency opinion poll by #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 54% (-12)
🟢 Green Party: 14% (+9)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 9% (-6)
⚫ Independent (Feinstein): 6% (new)
⚪ Reform UK: 5% (+3)

Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election normal result.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #GE2024 #Holborn #StPancras #KeirStarmer

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention from a (rare) telephone opinion poll by #Survation:

🔴 Labour: 41% (+1)
🔵 Conservatives: 20% (-3)
⚪ Reform UK: 15% (+3)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+2)
🟢 Green Party: 6% (=)
🟡 SNP: 2% (-1)

Labour lead of 21 points.

Conducted 14-18 June 2024. Changes with 5-11 June 2024.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

CONSTITUENCY OPINION POLL

Clacton constituency opinion poll by #Survation (this is where Farage is standing):

⚪ Reform UK: 42% (new)
🔵 Conservatives: 27% (-45)
🔴 Labour: 24% (+8)
🟢 Green Party: 5% (+2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 2% (-4)

Conducted 11-13 June 2024. Changes with 2019 general election result.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024 #Clacton #Farage

One final titbit for now:

Over on the birdsite, @LeftieStats has managed to successfully crowdfund a constituency opinion poll for Islington North by #Survation. It will be fascinating to see how well Jeremy Corbyn's doing in his run as an independent.

OPINION POLL ANALYSIS

So as we get to the end of manifesto-launch week, here's what the polls are saying:

Lib Dems and Reform UK are consistently up, Conservatives are noticeably down, Labour are down slightly, Greens and SNP are basically holding steady.

And we've had the #Survation MRP projecting that Reform UK are going to win 12 seats(!) while the Conservatives plummet to 83 seats.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #GE2024