RT @ProfPaulPoast
Which questions about international politics can you actually answer using large-N data?

The big ones.

That's what Bear Braumoeller taught us.

[THREAD]

RT @noah_gordon_
It's possible for democracies to friendshore critical mineral supplies, but it would take an unprecedented mining buildout to achieve 2030 targets. We also need technology (sodium batteries) and new approaches (bikes instead of giant EVs) Our new report: https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/05/03/friendshoring-critical-minerals-what-could-u.s.-and-its-partners-produce-pub-89659

RT @rooseveltinst
“Markets don’t have consciences…Therefore, government has an obligation to step in and take steps to ensure that critical social goods are advanced.” 👏 spot on words from @djrothkopf. https://twitter.com/toddntucker/status/1653800930427432960

"So for any Europeans who can see sense, the IRA should be seen as a golden opportunity...

The EU’s lunatic budget rules are most vulnerable in a crisis, and this can be such a crisis."
- @ryanlcooper for @heatmap_news.
https://heatmap.news/economy/europe-inflation-reduction-act

RT @ProfKMcNamara
Tim Noah, once again, has a good idea. "This Is How Biden Gets Kevin McCarthy to Wilt Like a Hothouse Flower" https://newrepublic.com/article/172405/biden-kevin-mccarthy-debt-ceiling-wilt-hothouse-flower

RT @mtkonczal
Note this isn't just a solid lump of labor bidding up its price - the pool of employed is expanding rapidly.

You should be happy that prime-age 25-54 employment-to-population is the highest its been in ~22 years. But also celebrate black and young people are leading this. /4

"The so-called ‘fiscally responsible’ adults in the room have actually been happy to participate in a reckless strategy of hostage-taking and trying to force the White House to accept MAGA cuts,” said @owenslindsay1 @Groundwork. “It has emboldened McCarthy and the Republicans.”
---
RT @JStein_WaPo
New: How the establishment confounded the White House’s debt ceiling strategy

Biden aides hoped powerful DC groups would help them marginal…
https://twitter.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1654151224604721157

RT @rooseveltinst
Today we are hosting an event in DC to launch our new report! Written by 6 former Biden officials, with a foreword by @toddntucker, it explores what the road ahead looks like for an “all-of-government” approach to industrial strategy. http://bit.ly/IPSynergies https://twitter.com/FeliciaWongRI/status/1650857527309893633

RT @FeliciaWongRI
Thank YOU @glgerstle. Here's to a new political order, one that ushers in more rights and more equality. https://twitter.com/glgerstle/status/1654183551477207041

RT @jmahumadaf
El consenso liberal se quebró, y para mejor. ✊ https://twitter.com/toddntucker/status/1653798332307845122

RT @superwuster
Lael Brainard, Chair of the White House Competition Council (and NEC director) gave a great speech at the #antimonopoly summit highlighting everything the Admin has done. "We’re just getting started, and we remain committed to finishing the job."

http://ow.ly/3v8c50Og6WG

RT @Isabel_Estevez_
One of the many interesting take-aways from this @NFolbre interview: The market economy is not as big as we may think: 50% of all hours people in the US spend doing work (anything you could pay someone else to do for you) happen outside of the labor market. https://twitter.com/Isabel_Estevez_/status/1654134476459454464

RT @greenprofgreen
Really important read from @robinsonmeyer on the #IRA & why policy sequencing is key to building political support. H/t @toddntucker, climate change @jonasmeckling
https://heatmap.news/politics/inflation-reduction-act-carrots-sticks

RT @ddayen
Lael Brainard with a big swipe at the Chicago school at today's @econliberties Anti-Monopoly Summit: "Competition is a fundamental American value—the beating heart of capitalism. It cannot be left to expert arguments about efficiency. Too much is at stake."

"If you’ve hungered for a more punitive approach to Biden’s climate policy, in other words, then you’re about to get it. But remember to thank the law that made it possible: the Inflation Reduction Act itself." @robinsonmeyer on EPA's latest moves.
https://heatmap.news/politics/inflation-reduction-act-carrots-sticks

RT @StephSterlingDC
This is a very sound legal argument — and an almost paradigmatic example of how the failures of the elected branches result in m more and more power going to unelected, unaccountable, and, it turns out, extraordinarily corrupt, judges. https://twitter.com/ddayen/status/1654112452710367232

"Strain said that invoking the 14th Amendment would be a “reasonable argument” for the White House to make... I think a world without a debt limit would be a better world. This would take us to that world.”

Via @jacobbogage
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/05/03/debt-ceiling-scenarios/

Key historical point.

We started a constitutional renovation project in the 1860s. Time to finish it.
---
RT @ddayen
The debt ceiling is a problem, but UCLA law professor Jonathan Zasloff has a solution.
Sue Janet Yellen.
It could work!
Read on in our latest edition of X-Date:
https://prospect.org/economy/2023-05-04-x-date-debt-ceiling-janet-yellen/
https://twitter.com/ddayen/status/1654111179554562048

National ownership has historically been an important tool on both the demand and supply ends.

"Jimenez said that “the only ones who cannot get ripped off are state-owned Chinese companies” because they were primarily seeking resources, with profit a secondary concern.""
---
RT @kmac
Countries with transition minerals like lithium are being strategic amid changing demand. There is still a lot unknown about the proposal to nationalise (some?)…
https://twitter.com/kmac/status/1653970440375914496

RT @StephSterlingDC
I wish I lived in a world where the scandal was that a Supreme Court Justice opted out of a public education for his child.